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Hungary Says It Will Bus Migrants to Austria Border

Hungary said Friday it would provide buses to take migrants to the Austrian border after a stream of people who have been stranded in the country for days set out for the border on foot. Austria and Germany agreed to allow in the refugees. 181

Blurry Job Picture Poses Test for Fed

U.S. employment growth slowed in August but the jobless rate fell to the lowest level since 2008, a mixed reading less than two weeks before a crucial Fed meeting. 223

G-20 Increasingly Concerned About Slowing Chinese Economy

China’s market routs and a string of weak data are fueling concern among Group of 20 officials that a slowing Chinese economy could fuel further market instability and push global growth deeper into a long-term rut.

U.S. Veterans Who Fight ISIS

A former Army Ranger and a decorated Marine are among U.S. veterans volunteering to join Kurdish fighters against Islamic State in Syria. 54

Clashes in Tajikistan Leave 17 Dead

An outbreak of violence in Tajikistan left 17 people dead on Friday, raising fears of a return to unrest in a Central Asian nation still scarred by civil war.

Google Pursuing a Return to China

Google is in talks with the Chinese government and handset makers about launching a new Android app store there, a move that would mark the company’s return to China.

London Jewel Thieves Plead Guilty for Easter Heist

Four men pleaded guilty on Friday to conspiracy for a jewel heist in London’s Hatton Garden diamond district over the Easter weekend.

Putin Pitches for Foreign Investment in Russia’s Far East

Russian President Vladimir Putin has made a pitch for greater investment in his country’s resource-rich Far East region, despite a slowdown in the Chinese economy that has shaken global markets.

Chinese Navy Ships Passed Through U.S. Waters

The Pentagon said five Chinese navy ships operating off Alaska in recent days had come within 12 nautical miles of the coast, entering U.S. territorial waters, but complying with international law. 329

From Piles of Trash Sprout Demands for Change in Lebanon

Protests demanding political reform bridge country’s longtime political, religious and ethnic divides.

Prominent Druse Cleric Killed in Syria Bombing

Two explosions went off Friday near a hospital in a province in southern Syria, killing a prominent antigovernment cleric and at least seven others.

Weekend Investor

No Emerging Markets in Your Portfolio? Look Again

Some foreign-stock mutual funds have 30% or 40% of assets in developing nations.

Heard on the Street

This Plastics IPO Is Timed Right – For the Seller

Bayer’s material science division, now called Covestro, had a strong first-half ahead of a planned initial public offering. That looks hard to keep up.

U.K. Regulator Warns Commodity Firms Over Market Abuse

The U.K.’s financial regulator said firms that trade commodities have learned little from recent high profile cases of market abuse and are failing to adequately monitor the risks of such abuse.

Stocks Drop After Jobs Report

U.S. stocks fell Friday, capping their second-worst weekly performance of the year, after a jobs report that failed to provide much clarity on when the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise short-term interest rates. 63

Brussels Beat

EU Displaces U.S. as Top Antitrust Cop

The European Union’s antitrust activism has put it in prime position to shape the Internet and is encouraging some U.S. technology executives to focus on Brussels.

Daimler, Renault Reboot Tiny Car

Daimler is taking another crack at the U.S. market for ultra-compacts with a retooled version of its ForTwo Smart car built through a collaboration that could become a benchmark for other auto makers. 70

Volkswagen CFO Nominated as Board Chairman

The largest shareholder of Europe’s biggest auto maker nominated the company’s CFO to become the next chairman of VW’s supervisory board.

BASF, Gazprom Renew Abandoned Asset-Swap Plan

Germany’s BASF and Russia’s Gazprom will complete an asset-swap deal signed in 2013 but called off last year amid tension between Russia and the West.

GVC Wins Race to Acquire Bwin.party

Sports betting and online gambling operator GVC Holdings PLC said it had clinched a deal to buy Bwin.party Digital Entertainment PLC after beating an offer from online gambling peer 888 Holdings PLC.

Fashion

How Fashion Experts Shop the High Street

Despite the crowds, the lines and the overpacked rails, there are real gems to be found in mainstream stores—you just need to know how to find them.

Will Lyons on Wine

What’s the Point of Scoring Wines?

A wine’s taste and character change almost daily, and taste is subjective—so is giving them marks a pointless exercise?

Theater

Michael Grandage: A Director’s DNA

With ‘Photograph 51’ at London’s Noël Coward Theatre, the acclaimed director coaxes Nicole Kidman back onstage for an exploration of the passion and poetry of science.

Going Native in NYC: 8 Things to Do as an Expat in the Big Apple

You’re relocating to the Center of the Universe, a.k.a. the Capital of the World, a.k.a. the City That Never Sleeps. So what do you do to embrace New York?

Video

Migrants Vow to March From Hungary to Austria

1:24

Migrants Refuse to Go to Refugee Camp in Hungary

1:59

Father of Aylan Kurdi Speaks at Funeral

0:58

Mind and Matter

The Power of Brains to Keep Growing

Not long ago, scientists thought that after infancy, our brains never added any neurons. Patricia Churchland on how brains keep growing

Film Review

‘La Jaula de Oro (The Golden Dream)’ Review: Dark Immigrant Odyssey

In Diego Quemada-Diez’s celebrated directorial debut, a trio of teenagers flee from Guatemala and make their way through a treacherous Mexico, where police and gangsters prey on vulnerable travelers.

WSJ Blogs

Real-time commentary and analysis from The Wall Street Journal
Die Seite Drei
Schnelle Analysen und Beobachtungen zum Zeitgeschehen

Superbowl: Die “Falschen” haben gewonnen

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Ray Lewis von den Baltimore Ravens hält die begehrte Trophäe nach dem Gewinn des Superbowl in den Händen.

34:31 haben die Baltimore Ravens in der Nacht zum Montag den Superbowl gegen die San Francisco 49ers gewonnen. Ein enger Ausgang des Endspiels in der Nordamerikanischen Footballliga NFL mit einem spektakulären Spielverlauf, so wie es sportbegeisterte Fans mögen. 28:6 stand es für die Ravens bereits, ehe als ungeplanter weiterer Höhepunkt der Blackout kam: Eine halbe Stunde ging im Superdome von New Orleans, der nach dem Hurrikan Katrina für mehrere hundert Millionen Dollar renoviert worden war, nichts mehr, weil die Stromversorgung zusammengebrochen war.

Als der Strom wieder da war, drehten auch die 49ers noch einmal mächtig auf und kamen kurz vor Ende des Spiels noch auf 29:31 heran. Drehen konnten sie das Spiel aber nicht mehr, und das hat vermutlich nicht nur eingefleischten 49er Fans das Herz gebrochen. Auch der ein oder andere Börsenhändler dürfte ins Grübeln gekommen sein, vorausgesetzt er ist ein Anhänger des sogenannten Superbowl-Indikators.

Der besagt nämlich, dass es eigentlich egal ist, welche Mannschaft gewinnt, Hauptsache sie kommt aus der National Football Conference NFC und nicht aus der American Football Conference AFC. Dann nämlich ist – rein statistisch gesehen – mit erhöhter Wahrscheinlichkeit davon auzugehen, dass die Aktienkurse ein gutes Jahr erleben werden.

Dummerweise kommen dieses Mal die Ravens aber aus der AFC. Ein schwarzer Montag ist deswegen an Wall Street aber nicht zu befürchten und auch in Europa ist von einem Ausverkauf bei Aktien (noch) nichts zu sehen. Dafür hat die Superbowl-Börsenregel in den vergangenen Jahren auch viel zu sehr an Treffsicherheit eingebüßt.

Eine Zeit lang konnte sich der Superbowl-Indikator tatsächlich sehen lassen, wobei die Angaben über seine Treffergenauigkeit schwanken. Von 1971 bis 1997 soll sie noch bei rund 75 Prozent gelegen haben. Seitdem war auf Quarterbacks, Wide Receivers, Tight Ends und Runningbacks und Co. aber immer weniger Verlass. So soll die Trefferquote 2012 schon nur noch bei 59 Prozent gelegen haben, womit wir uns immer mehr der statistischen Mitte bei 50 Prozent nähern und footballbegeisterte Aktionäre auch einfach eine Münze werfen könnten.

Wer dennoch an den Superbowl-Indikator glaubt und auf einem dicken Aktienpaket sitzt, dem sei damit Hoffnung gemacht, dass 2008, im Jahr der Lehman-Pleite, als es mit dem Deutschen Aktienindex Dax um 40 Prozent nach unten ging, die New York Giants aus der NFC den Superbowl gewonnen haben, also eigentlich die Richtigen. Im Jahr darauf war es umgekehrt. 2009 trugen die Pittsburgh Steelers aus der AFC die Trophäe nach Hause und der Dax beendete das Jahr mit einem Plus von gut 20 Prozent.

 

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The Wall Street Journal & Breaking News, Business, Financial and Economic News, World News and Video
Search
IMAGE 1 of 11

Hungary Says It Will Bus Migrants to Austria Border

Hungary said Friday it would provide buses to take migrants to the Austrian border after a stream of people who have been stranded in the country for days set out for the border on foot. Austria and Germany agreed to allow in the refugees. 181

Blurry Job Picture Poses Test for Fed

U.S. employment growth slowed in August but the jobless rate fell to the lowest level since 2008, a mixed reading less than two weeks before a crucial Fed meeting. 223

G-20 Increasingly Concerned About Slowing Chinese Economy

China’s market routs and a string of weak data are fueling concern among Group of 20 officials that a slowing Chinese economy could fuel further market instability and push global growth deeper into a long-term rut.

U.S. Veterans Who Fight ISIS

A former Army Ranger and a decorated Marine are among U.S. veterans volunteering to join Kurdish fighters against Islamic State in Syria. 54

Clashes in Tajikistan Leave 17 Dead

An outbreak of violence in Tajikistan left 17 people dead on Friday, raising fears of a return to unrest in a Central Asian nation still scarred by civil war.

Google Pursuing a Return to China

Google is in talks with the Chinese government and handset makers about launching a new Android app store there, a move that would mark the company’s return to China.

London Jewel Thieves Plead Guilty for Easter Heist

Four men pleaded guilty on Friday to conspiracy for a jewel heist in London’s Hatton Garden diamond district over the Easter weekend.

Putin Pitches for Foreign Investment in Russia’s Far East

Russian President Vladimir Putin has made a pitch for greater investment in his country’s resource-rich Far East region, despite a slowdown in the Chinese economy that has shaken global markets.

Chinese Navy Ships Passed Through U.S. Waters

The Pentagon said five Chinese navy ships operating off Alaska in recent days had come within 12 nautical miles of the coast, entering U.S. territorial waters, but complying with international law. 329

From Piles of Trash Sprout Demands for Change in Lebanon

Protests demanding political reform bridge country’s longtime political, religious and ethnic divides.

Prominent Druse Cleric Killed in Syria Bombing

Two explosions went off Friday near a hospital in a province in southern Syria, killing a prominent antigovernment cleric and at least seven others.

Weekend Investor

No Emerging Markets in Your Portfolio? Look Again

Some foreign-stock mutual funds have 30% or 40% of assets in developing nations.

Heard on the Street

This Plastics IPO Is Timed Right – For the Seller

Bayer’s material science division, now called Covestro, had a strong first-half ahead of a planned initial public offering. That looks hard to keep up.

U.K. Regulator Warns Commodity Firms Over Market Abuse

The U.K.’s financial regulator said firms that trade commodities have learned little from recent high profile cases of market abuse and are failing to adequately monitor the risks of such abuse.

Stocks Drop After Jobs Report

U.S. stocks fell Friday, capping their second-worst weekly performance of the year, after a jobs report that failed to provide much clarity on when the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise short-term interest rates. 63